As I said several times, little by little, things that would have been unacceptable yesterday become the new…
Armed Conflict · · Poland
As I said several times, little by little, things that would have been unacceptable yesterday become the new normal today.
First, we saw more drones entering or crashing in Moldova and Romania. Then we got used to almost daily air alerts, sometimes three or four in a single day in Poland. Now we are dealing with commercial ships being attacked in the Black Sea, with people killed, injured and missing.
And every time, the same argument comes up: "You’re not going to war over a drone" or "You’re not going to war over a ship." Of course, nobody wants a war. But this is also how hybrid warfare works: Governments are trapped between two pressures. If they act, people accuse them of risking a wider war. If they don’t, people ask how much more they are willing to tolerate. Every decision is a "problem"
But while everyone debates whether each incident justifies a response, the overall situation keeps escalating. And eventually, what was once considered an unacceptable provocation becomes something we have learned to live with. Until the next escalation pushes the limits even further.
Source: @GeoInsider
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