My assessment of where things currently stand between the U.S., Israel and Iran.
Armed Conflict · · Israel
My assessment of where things currently stand between the U.S., Israel and Iran.
As I explained to my subscribers a few days ago, I believe neither US nor Israel wants a major escalation or another war before the Israel or U.S. midterm elections.
However, if U.S. or Israeli intelligence detects preparations for an Iranian preemptive strike, both countries would act first rather than wait to be attacked.
A few developments are worth watching:
1. Iran has been conducting frequent ballistic missile launches, tests and military exercises in the past few days.
2. Israel’s military leadership says forces are on heightened alert, preparing for multiple scenarios, including offensive operations.
3. U.S. military airlift activity into the Middle East has surged, with increased movement of cargo aircraft and equipment.
4. Israeli air defense systems being repositioned.
5. Qatar emir issued a warning yesterday to his people urging readiness for any scenario, amid concerns about another regional escalation.
6. There’s a few more developments, that I cannot share just yet.
At this point, I believe Irans next moves will largely determine whether the region sees another round of fighting before the elections.
For now, these are warning signals, preparations for any scenario, not confirmation that war is imminent.
Source: @Open Source Intel
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